Overall MAPE
12.7%
Lower is better
Best Method
SARIMA
8.4% MAPE
Most Improved
Atlas Motors
+3.2 pts this month
Auto-Switched SKUs
2
Model switches this month
MAPE Trend — Last 12 Months by Brand
Lower MAPE = better forecast accuracy
Forecast Accuracy by Method
Average MAPE per method (lower = better)
Forecast vs Actuals — May 2025
Each dot = one SKU. Diagonal = perfect forecast.
Class A Class B Class C
Accuracy Detail — May 2025
| SKU | Part Name | Brand | Method | Forecast | Actual | Error % | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL-001 | Engine Oil Filter | Atlas Motors | SARIMA | 85 | 82 | 3.5% | -3.5% |
| ATL-002 | Air Filter Element | Atlas Motors | XGBoost | 62 | 65 | 4.8% | +4.8% |
| ATL-003 | Front Brake Pad | Atlas Motors | ARIMA-LSTM | 45 | 42 | 6.7% | -6.7% |
| VTX-001 | Engine Timing Belt | Vertex Auto | SARIMA | 72 | 70 | 2.8% | -2.8% |
| VTX-002 | Cabin Air Filter | Vertex Auto | XGBoost | 55 | 58 | 5.5% | +5.5% |
| SWT-001 | Fuel Injector Nozzle | SwiftTech | SARIMA | 18 | 20 | 10% | +10% |